It's March and we are knee deep in mock drafts.
NFL.com's Daniel Jeremiah unveiled his top 10 forecast Friday and, not surprisingly, the most dramatic changes unfold right at the top. After projecting West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith to go No. 1 to Kansas City in last month's mock, Jeremiah now sees the Chiefs -- with Alex Smith in the fold -- making Texas A&M offensive tackle Luke Joeckel the top overall pick.
"Very consistent, not a Joe Thomas-type talent, but someone that's going to start for 10-plus years and be a rock-solid foundation for Andy Reid's franchise," Jeremiah told NFL Network on Friday.
The Jacksonville Jaguars will follow suit, according to Jeremiah, picking Central Michigan offensive tackle Eric Fisher at No. 2: "The Jaguars need a pass rusher, but you can poke holes in all those guys. I don't know that they will pass on a talent like Fisher," Jeremiah said. "Dave Caldwell's first draft as a general manager, he hits it right in the middle of the fairway with a very solid player."
That brings us to the Oakland Raiders, who Jeremiah sees going with Florida defensive tackle Sharrif Floyd: "They're going to lose Richard Seymour. They need a defensive tackle. To me, he's the most dynamic interior pass rusher potentially in this draft. I love Sharrif Floyd."
As for Geno Smith? Jeremiah has him falling to the Arizona Cardinals at No. 7.
That represents a heady landing spot for a quarterback most don't see as a legitimate top-of-the-draft pick, but passers ascend every year as we veer into April. You're going nowhere without a quarterback in this league and the Cardinals have a gaping hole at the position. That's why Smith might go much higher than he should.
Follow Marc Sessler on Twitter @MarcSesslerNFL.