1. Who will be the season's biggest breakout player?
Jay Cutler. Equation for 6-cess: 2 talented new WRs (B. Marshall/A. Jeffrey) + 2 games vs. MIN's lousy D + 2 games vs. DET's atrocious secondary - M. Martz (whose playbook required Cutler to take too many shots) = Cutler Breakout
2. Who will be the biggest fantasy bust?
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Reggie Bush. I forecasted big things for Bush in 2011, but I expect him to fall back in 2012. If you've watched the Packers the last few seasons, you know new coach Joe Philbin liked running the ball roughly three times a month in Lambeau. I understand there's zero (or is that cero?) wide receiver talent in South Beach, so maybe Philbin will run more with the Dolphins, but keep in mind Bush will be sharing carries with sophomore Daniel Thomas and freshman Lamar Miller.
3. Which player will make the biggest fantasy impact with his new team?
Guys like Peyton Manning, Brandon Marshall and Brandon Lloyd will obviously make big impacts on their teams…but you already know that. Randy Moss? Hmm. Maybe…but I can't bring myself to suggest you draft him anywhere before the 11th round (let's see how he looks in preseason before we render a final verdict, though). The guys I think who'll make a big impact - even if it's not through putting up their own big stats - are rookie receivers Michael Floyd, Alshon Jeffrey, Kendall Wright and Stephen Hill. None of those four are expected to immediately serve as the team's #1 passcatcher, but each has a chance to force defenses to pay attention to another weapon besides the current top receiver. That means better numbers in 2012 for already-top-flight guys like Fitzgerald, Marshall, Britt and Holmes.
4. Comeback fantasy player of the year?
DeSean Jackson. It seems he's replaced the chip on his shoulder with a fire in his belly, and fantasy owners who draft him as their No.2 WR will benefit from him being Vick's top target in 2012. Take him in Round Five. While Chris Johnson has a lot in common with Jackson - world-class speed, slight build, a lousy 2011 season and lame nickname, running between the tackles rather than taking the top off the defense is much tougher work. Johnson may not be as dreadful as he was last season, but don't burn a first-round pick on him.
5. Fantasy rookie of the year?
Robert Griffin III. The futures of Luck, Richardson, Floyd and Martin are all bright, but Griffin's gonna be great from Day-One because of his legs. From Steve Young to Michael Vick to Aaron Rodgers to Cam Newton, a callow quarterback is able to be productive - at least statistically if not in terms of wins - if he's able to run. He'll throw at least 15 touchdowns and rush for 8-10 more. Take him in the sixth round…but go up and get him in the second if you're in a keeper league.
