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Cynthia Frelund's Week 1 fantasy projections
My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past, actual, and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

1 / 18
1.lamar jackson
- Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens
- 242 pass yards, 2 TD; 54 rush yards
Peter Read Miller/Associated Press

2 / 18
2.patrick mahomes
- Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
- 289 pass yards, 2 TD; 25 rush yards
Aaron Doster/NFL

3 / 18
3.russell wilson
- Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks
- 264 pass yards, 2 TD; 19 rush yards
Ryan Kang/NFL

4 / 18
4.deshaun watson
- DeShaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans
- 259 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT; 31 rush yards
Charlie Riedel/Associated Press

5 / 18
5.dak prescott
- Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys
- 272 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
Aaron Doster/NFL

6 / 18
6.tyrod taylor
Upside Pick – Tyrod Taylor, QB, Los Angeles Chargers
- 210 pass yards, TD; 39 rush yards
Alex Gallardo/Associated Press

7 / 18
1.christian mccaffrey
- Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers
- 75 rush yards, TD; 6 receptions, 48 yards
Michael Conroy/Associated Press

8 / 18
2.zeke elliott
- Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys
- 78 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 31 yards
Matt Patterson/Associated Press

9 / 18
3.saquon barkley
- Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants
- 68 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 30 yards
Ryan Kang/NFL

10 / 18
4.derrick henry
- Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans
- 96 rush yards, TD; 1 reception, 11 yards
Michael Wyke/Associated Press

11 / 18
5.josh jacobs
- Josh Jacobs, RB, Las Vegas Raiders
- 84 rush yards, TD; 2 receptions, 9 yards
Seth Wenig/Associated Press

12 / 18
6.todd gurley
Upside Pick – Todd Gurley, RB, Atlanta Falcons
- 55 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 21 yards
John Bazemore/Associated Press

13 / 18
1.mciahel thomas
- Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints
- 8 receptions, 91 yards, TD
Ric Tapia/NFL

14 / 18
2.juliojones
- Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons
- 7 receptions, 92 yards, TD
Paul Abell/Associated Press

15 / 18
3.devante adams
- Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers
- 6 receptions, 88 yards, TD
Todd Rosenberg/Associated Press

16 / 18
4.tyreek hill
- Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
- 6 receptions, 82 yards, TD
Charlie Riedel/Associated Press

17 / 18
5.chris goodwin
- Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 6 receptions, 73 yards, TD
Jason Behnken/Associated Press

18 / 18
6.dionte johnson
Upside Pick – Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
- 4 receptions, 52 yards, TD
Paul Spinelli/Associated Press
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