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Cynthia Frelund's Week 1 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

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Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

282 pass yards, 3 TD; 14 rush yards

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs

282 pass yards, 3 TD; 14 rush yards

Margaret Bowles/Associated Press

237 pass yards, 2 TD; 44 rush yards

2 / 18

2. Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks

237 pass yards, 2 TD; 44 rush yards

Kevin Terrell/Associated Press

243 pass yards, 2 TD; 28 rush yards

3 / 18

3. Deshaun Watson, QB, Texans

243 pass yards, 2 TD; 28 rush yards

Roger Steinman/Associated Press

274 pass yards, 2 TD

4 / 18

4. Drew Brees, QB, Saints

274 pass yards, 2 TD

Peter Read Miller/Associated Press

272 pass yards, 2 TD

5 / 18

5. Carson Wentz, QB, Eagles

272 pass yards, 2 TD

Tony Gutierrez/Associated Press

269 pass yards, 2 TD

6 / 18

Upside: Matthew Stafford, QB, Lions

269 pass yards, 2 TD

Rick Osentoski/Associated Press

118 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 receptions

7 / 18

1. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Panthers

118 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 receptions

James Patterson/Associated Press

112 scrimmage yards. TD; 5 receptions

8 / 18

2. Saquon Barkley, RB, Giants

112 scrimmage yards. TD; 5 receptions

Bill Kostroun/Associated Press

116 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

9 / 18

3. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys

116 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

Mark J. Terrill/Associated Press

105 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

10 / 18

4. Alvin Kamara, RB, Saints

105 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

Ryan Kang/NFL

104 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

11 / 18

5. Le'Veon Bell, RB, Jets

104 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

Damian Strohmeyer/Associated Press

91 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

12 / 18

Upside: Austin Ekeler, RB, Chargers

91 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

Gregory Trott/Associated Press

7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

13 / 18

1. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Texans

7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

Eric Christian Smith/Associated Press

7 receptions, 80 yards, TD

14 / 18

2. Michael Thomas, WR, Saints

7 receptions, 80 yards, TD

Kevin Terrell/Associated Press

6 receptions, 79 yards, TD

15 / 18

3. Julio Jones, WR, Falcons

6 receptions, 79 yards, TD

Tom DiPace/Associated Press

6 receptions, 77 yards, TD

16 / 18

4. Odell Beckham Jr., RB, Browns

6 receptions, 77 yards, TD

Al Tielemans/Associated Press

6 receptions, 69 yards, TD

17 / 18

5. Mike Evans, WR, Buccaneers

6 receptions, 69 yards, TD

Mark LoMoglio/Associated Press

5 receptions, 50 yards, TD

18 / 18

Upside: Dede Westbrook, WR, Jaguars

5 receptions, 50 yards, TD

Matt Dunham/Associated Press

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