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Cynthia Frelund's Week 11 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past, actual, and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

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Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

306 pass yards, 3 TD; 31 rush yards

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

306 pass yards, 3 TD; 31 rush yards

Jeff Roberson/Associated Press

230 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 61 rush yards, TD

2 / 18

2. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

230 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 61 rush yards, TD

Charles Krupa/Associated Press

279 pass yards, 2 TD; 34 rush yards

3 / 18

3. Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

279 pass yards, 2 TD; 34 rush yards

David Richard/Associated Press

290 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards

4 / 18

4. Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers

290 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards

Tom DiPace/Associated Press

281 pass yards, 3 TD, INT

5 / 18

5. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

281 pass yards, 3 TD, INT

Matt Ludtke/Associated Press

231 pass yards, 2 TD; 13 rush yards

6 / 18

Upside Pick - Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins

231 pass yards, 2 TD; 13 rush yards

Wilfredo Lee/Associated Press

67 rush yards, TD; 6 receptions, 49 yards

7 / 18

1. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

67 rush yards, TD; 6 receptions, 49 yards

Cooper Neill/NFL

84 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 31 yards

8 / 18

2. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

84 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 31 yards

Nam Y. Huh/Associated Press

60 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 32 yards

9 / 18

3. Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers

60 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 32 yards

Jeffrey Phelps/Associated Press

64 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 31 yards

10 / 18

4. Josh Jacobs, RB, Las Vegas Raiders

64 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 31 yards

David Becker/Associated Press

81 rush yards, TD; 1 reception, 11 yards

11 / 18

5. Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans

81 rush yards, TD; 1 reception, 11 yards

Wade Payne/Associated Press

61 rush yards, TD; 2 receptions, 15 yards

12 / 18

Upside Pick - Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team

61 rush yards, TD; 2 receptions, 15 yards

Rick Osentoski/Associated Press

9 receptions, 91 yards, TD

13 / 18

1. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

9 receptions, 91 yards, TD

Morry Gash/Associated Press

8 receptions, 88 yards, TD

14 / 18

2. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

8 receptions, 88 yards, TD

Logan Bowles/NFL

6 receptions, 98 yards, TD

15 / 18

3. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

6 receptions, 98 yards, TD

Ric Tapia/NFL

7 receptions, 79 yards, TD

16 / 18

4. Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

7 receptions, 79 yards, TD

Alex Gallardo/Associated Press

6 receptions, 82 yards, TD

17 / 18

5. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

6 receptions, 82 yards, TD

Nam Y. Huh/Associated Press

5 receptions, 61 yards, TD

18 / 18

Upside Pick - Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

5 receptions, 61 yards, TD

Justin Berl/Associated Press

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