NFL Photos | NFL Photography Gallery | NFL.com

Cynthia Frelund's Week 11 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to:

Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

311 pass yards, 3 TD; 15 rush yards

Charlie Riedel/Associated Press

2 / 18

2. Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams

300 pass yards, 3 TD; 10 rush yards

Ryan Kang/NFL

3 / 18

3. Drew Brees, QB, New Olreans Saints

317 pass yards, 3 TD

Gary Landers/Associated Press

4 / 18

4. Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

260 pass yards, 2 TD; 40 rush yard

Keith Srakocic/Associated Press

5 / 18

5. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

284 pass yards, 2 TD; 20 rush yards

Jeffrey Phelps/Associated Press

6 / 18

Upside Pick: Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

285 pass yards, 2 TD

Ric Tapia/NFL

7 / 18

1. Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

152 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

Ryan Kang/NFL

8 / 18

2. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

123 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

Gary Landers/Associated Press

9 / 18

3. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

119 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

Ryan Kang/NFL

10 / 18

4. Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

118 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Ben Margot/Associated Press

11 / 18

5. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

92 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

12 / 18

Upside Pick: Dion Lewis, RB, Tennessee Titans

77 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Mark Zaleski/Associated Press

13 / 18

1. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

7 receptions, 99 yards, TD

Frank Victores/Associated Press

14 / 18

2. Odell Beckham Jr., WR, New York Giants

6 receptions, 102 yards, TD

Ryan Kang/NFL

15 / 18

3. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

Jack Dempsey/Associated Press

16 / 18

4. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

6 receptions, 90 yards, TD

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

17 / 18

5. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

6 receptions, 84 yards, TD

Jim Mone/Associated Press

18 / 18

Upside Pick: Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams

6 receptions, 74 yards, TD

Jacob Gonzalez/NFL

Advertising

This Ad will close in 3

Advertising

gallery

Top 10 Photos of the 2024 NFL Season

Check out the best images from around the league during the 2024 NFL season.

gallery

Ranking the NFL's Biggest Contracts for 2025

Wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase and the Cincinnati Bengals have agreed to terms on a four-year extension worth $161 million. The deal makes Chase the highest-paid non-quarterback in the NFL with an average salary of $40.25 million per year. Take a look at the top 25 highest-paid NFL players, ranked by the average annual value of their contracts according to Over the Cap.