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Cynthia Frelund's Week 11 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past, actual, and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

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Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

302 pass yards, 2 TD; 17 rush yards

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

302 pass yards, 2 TD; 17 rush yards

James Kenney/Associated Press

244 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 58 rush yards

2 / 18

2. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

244 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 58 rush yards

Aaron Doster/NFL

271 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards

3 / 18

3. Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

271 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards

Ian Walton/Associated Press

286 pass yards, 2 TD

4 / 18

4. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

286 pass yards, 2 TD

Perry Knotts/NFL

251 pass yards, 2 TD; 13 rush yards

5 / 18

5. Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

251 pass yards, 2 TD; 13 rush yards

Cooper Neill/NFL

241 pass yards, 2 TD; 12 rush yards

6 / 18

Upside Pick: Kyle Allen, QB, Carolina Panthers

241 pass yards, 2 TD; 12 rush yards

Ryan Kang/NFL

135 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

7 / 18

1. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

135 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

/NFL

112 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

8 / 18

2. Josh Jacobs, RB, Oakland Raiders

112 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Ric Tapia/NFL

110 scrimmage yards, TD: 3 receptions

9 / 18

3. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

110 scrimmage yards, TD: 3 receptions

Cooper Neill/NFL

105 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

10 / 18

4. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

105 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Cooper Neill/NFL

94 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

11 / 18

5. Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

94 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

Sean Ryan/NFL

80 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

12 / 18

Upside Pick: Damian Williams, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

80 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Joe Robbins/Associated Press

9 receptions, 98 yards, TD

13 / 18

1. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

9 receptions, 98 yards, TD

Rusty Costanza/Associated Press

8 receptions, 93 yards, TD

14 / 18

2. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

8 receptions, 93 yards, TD

Mark Zaleski/Associated Press

7 receptions, 95 yards, TD

15 / 18

3. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

7 receptions, 95 yards, TD

Sean Ryan/NFL

7 receptions, 93 yards, TD

16 / 18

4. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

7 receptions, 93 yards, TD

Gregory Trott/Associated Press

6 receptions, 81 yards, TD

17 / 18

5. Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots

6 receptions, 81 yards, TD

Nick Wass/Associated Press

5 receptions, 71 yards, TD

18 / 18

Upside Pick: D.J. Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers

5 receptions, 71 yards, TD

Ryan Kang/NFL

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