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Cynthia Frelund's Week 13 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

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Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

303 pass yards, 3 TD

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

303 pass yards, 3 TD

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

267 pass yards, 2 TD; 32 rush yards

2 / 18

2. Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

267 pass yards, 2 TD; 32 rush yards

Mike McCarn/Associated Press

313 pass yards, 2 TD

3 / 18

3. Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams

313 pass yards, 2 TD

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

291 pass yards, 2 TD

4 / 18

4. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

291 pass yards, 2 TD

Butch Dill/Associated Press

227 pass yards, 2 TD; 24 rush yards

5 / 18

5. Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

227 pass yards, 2 TD; 24 rush yards

Eric Christian Smith/Associated Press

279 pass yards, 2 TD

6 / 18

Upside pick: Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts

279 pass yards, 2 TD

AJ Mast/Associated Press

128 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

7 / 18

1. Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

128 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Kelvin Kuo/Associated Press

122 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

8 / 18

2. Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

122 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Marcio Jose Sanchez/Associated Press

109 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

9 / 18

3. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

109 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

Jason E. Miczek/Associated Press

103 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

10 / 18

4. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

103 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Margaret Bowles/Associated Press

89 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

11 / 18

5. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

89 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Chris Szagola/Associated Press

88 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

12 / 18

Upside pick: Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

88 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Kelvin Kuo/Associated Press

8 receptions, 99 yards, TD

13 / 18

1. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

8 receptions, 99 yards, TD

Bill Feig/Associated Press

7 receptions, 92 yards, TD

14 / 18

2. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

7 receptions, 92 yards, TD

Jim Mone/Associated Press

6 receptions, 92 yards, TD

15 / 18

3. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

6 receptions, 92 yards, TD

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

6 receptions, 89 yards, TD

16 / 18

4. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

6 receptions, 89 yards, TD

David Zalubowski/Associated Press

7 receptions, 78 yards, TD

17 / 18

5. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

7 receptions, 78 yards, TD

Bruce Kluckhohn/Associated Press

5 receptions, 71 yards, TD

18 / 18

Upside pick: T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

5 receptions, 71 yards, TD

Jeff Roberson/Associated Press

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