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Cynthia Frelund's Week 13 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

303 pass yards, 3 TD

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

2 / 18

2. Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

267 pass yards, 2 TD; 32 rush yards

Mike McCarn/Associated Press

3 / 18

3. Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams

313 pass yards, 2 TD

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

4 / 18

4. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

291 pass yards, 2 TD

Butch Dill/Associated Press

5 / 18

5. Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

227 pass yards, 2 TD; 24 rush yards

Eric Christian Smith/Associated Press

6 / 18

Upside pick: Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts

279 pass yards, 2 TD

AJ Mast/Associated Press

7 / 18

1. Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

128 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Kelvin Kuo/Associated Press

8 / 18

2. Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

122 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Marcio Jose Sanchez/Associated Press

9 / 18

3. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

109 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

Jason E. Miczek/Associated Press

10 / 18

4. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

103 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Margaret Bowles/Associated Press

11 / 18

5. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

89 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Chris Szagola/Associated Press

12 / 18

Upside pick: Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

88 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Kelvin Kuo/Associated Press

13 / 18

1. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

8 receptions, 99 yards, TD

Bill Feig/Associated Press

14 / 18

2. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

7 receptions, 92 yards, TD

Jim Mone/Associated Press

15 / 18

3. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

6 receptions, 92 yards, TD

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

16 / 18

4. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

6 receptions, 89 yards, TD

David Zalubowski/Associated Press

17 / 18

5. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

7 receptions, 78 yards, TD

Bruce Kluckhohn/Associated Press

18 / 18

Upside pick: T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

5 receptions, 71 yards, TD

Jeff Roberson/Associated Press

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