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Cynthia Frelund's Week 13 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past, actual, and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

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Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

312 pass yards, 3 TD; 17 rush yards

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

312 pass yards, 3 TD; 17 rush yards

Rebecca Blackwell/Associated Press

234 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 48 rush yards, TD

2 / 18

2. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

234 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 48 rush yards, TD

Kyusung Gong/Associated Press

301 pass yards, 2 TD

3 / 18

3. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

301 pass yards, 2 TD

Butch Dill/Associated Press

262 pass yards, 2 TD; 15 rush yards

4 / 18

4. Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

262 pass yards, 2 TD; 15 rush yards

Matt Rourke/Associated Press

271 pass yards, 2 TD; 10 rush yards

5 / 18

5. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

271 pass yards, 2 TD; 10 rush yards

Tony Avelar/Associated Press

254 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 36 rush yards

6 / 18

Upside Pick: Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals

254 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 36 rush yards

Josie Lepe/Associated Press

145 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

7 / 18

1. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

145 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

Butch Dill/Associated Press

126 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

8 / 18

2. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

126 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

Bruce Kluckhohn/Associated Press

134 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

9 / 18

3. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

134 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Butch Dill/Associated Press

119 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

10 / 18

4. Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

119 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

Mark Zaleski/Associated Press

122 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

11 / 18

5. Le'Veon Bell, RB, New York Jets

122 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Adam Hunger/Associated Press

78 scrimmage yards, TD 1 reception

12 / 18

Upside Pick: Jonathan Williams, RB, Indianapolis Colts

78 scrimmage yards, TD 1 reception

Cooper Neill/NFL

9 receptions, 104 yards, TD

13 / 18

1. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

9 receptions, 104 yards, TD

Bill Feig/Associated Press

6 receptions, 100 yards, TD

14 / 18

2. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

6 receptions, 100 yards, TD

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

6 receptions, 89 yards, TD

15 / 18

3. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

6 receptions, 89 yards, TD

Tony Avelar/Associated Press

6 receptions, 86 yards, TD

16 / 18

4. Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks

6 receptions, 86 yards, TD

Matt Rourke/Associated Press

5 receptions, 86 yards, TD

17 / 18

5. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

5 receptions, 86 yards, TD

John Amis/Associated Press

5 receptions, 67 yards, TD

18 / 18

Upside Pick: Christian Kirk, WR, Arizona Cardinals

5 receptions, 67 yards, TD

Jason Behnken/Associated Press

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