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Cynthia Frelund's Week 16 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to:

Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

1 / 18

1) Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

321 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT

Charlie Riedel/Associated Press

2 / 18

2) Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

301 pass yards, 2 TD

Perry Knotts/NFL

3 / 18

3) Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts

292 pass yards, 2 TD

Michael Conroy/Associated Press

4 / 18

4) Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers

290 pass yards, 2 TD

Philip G. Pavely/Associated Press

5 / 18

5) Tom Brady, QB, New Orleans Saints

282 pass yards, 2 TD

Keith Srakocic/Associated Press

6 / 18

Upside pick: Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

278 pass yards, 2 TD

Logan Bowles/NFL

7 / 18

1) Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

130 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

Perry Knotts/NFL

8 / 18

2) Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

129 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

AJ Mast/Associated Press

9 / 18

3) Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

120 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

Perry Knotts/NFL

10 / 18

4) Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

109 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

Ryan Kang/NFL

11 / 18

5) Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns

109 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 rec

Jack Dempsey/Associated Press

12 / 18

Upside pick: David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

101 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 rec

Gene Lower/Associated Press

13 / 18

1) DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

7 receptions, 88 yards, TD

Adam Hunger/Associated Press

14 / 18

2) Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

7 receptions, 84 yards, TD

Don Wright/Associated Press

15 / 18

3) Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

6 receptions, 84 yards, TD

Logan Bowles/NFL

16 / 18

4) Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

6 receptions, 82 yards, TD

Perry Knotts/NFL

17 / 18

5) Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

6 receptions, 79 yards, TD

Bruce Kluckhohn/Associated Press

18 / 18

Upside pick: Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

5 receptions, 77 yards, TD

Ben Liebenberg/NFL

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