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Cynthia Frelund's Week 16 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past, actual, and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

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Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

251 pass yards, 2 TD; 55 rush yards, TD

1 / 18

1. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

251 pass yards, 2 TD; 55 rush yards, TD

Nick Wass/Associated Press

283 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards

2 / 18

2. Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

283 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards

Mark Zaleski/Associated Press

254 pass yards, 2 TD; 30 rush yards

3 / 18

3. Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

254 pass yards, 2 TD; 30 rush yards

Logan Bowles/NFL

274 pass yards, 2 TD

4 / 18

4. Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

274 pass yards, 2 TD

John Hefti/Associated Press

273 pass yards, 2 TD

5 / 18

5. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

273 pass yards, 2 TD

Ryan Kang/NFL

251 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 18 rush yards

6 / 18

Upside Pick: Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, Miami Dolphins

251 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 18 rush yards

Adam Hunger/Associated Press

145 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 receptions

7 / 18

1. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

145 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 receptions

Logan Bowles/NFL

122 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

8 / 18

2. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

122 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Adam Hunger/Associated Press

104 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

9 / 18

3. Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks

104 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Logan Bowles/NFL

106 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 receptions

10 / 18

4. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

106 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 receptions

Michael Ainsworth/Associated Press

100 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 receptions

11 / 18

5. Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

100 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 receptions

Frank Victores/Associated Press

81 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

12 / 18

Upside Pick: Patrick Laird, RB, Miami Dolphins

81 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Adam Hunger/Associated Press

9 receptions, 101 yards, TD

13 / 18

1. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

9 receptions, 101 yards, TD

Chuck Cook/USA TODAY Sports

8 receptions, 89 yards, TD

14 / 18

2. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

8 receptions, 89 yards, TD

Josie Lepe/Associated Press

8 receptions, 88 yards, TD

15 / 18

3. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

8 receptions, 88 yards, TD

Mark Zaleski/Associated Press

7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

16 / 18

4. Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

Jake Roth/USA TODAY Sports

7 receptions, 87 yards, TD

17 / 18

5. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

7 receptions, 87 yards, TD

Todd Rosenberg/NFL

5 receptions, 64 yards, TD

18 / 18

Upside Pick: Christian Kirk, WR, Arizona Cardinals

5 receptions, 64 yards, TD

Ross D. Franklin/Associated Press

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