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Cynthia Frelund's Week 3 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

289 pass yards, 2 TD; 19 rush yards

Ric Tapia/NFL

2 / 18

2. Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

279 pass yards, 2 TD; 10 rush yards

Damian Strohmeyer/Associated Press

3 / 18

3. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

234 pass yards, 2 TD; 25 rush yards

Aaron M. Sprecher/Associated Press

4 / 18

4. Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

288 pass yards, 2 TD

Perry Knotts/NFL

5 / 18

5. Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

284 pass yards, 2 TD

John Amis/Associated Press

6 / 18

Upside Pick: Jameis Winston, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

281 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT

Logan Bowles/NFL

7 / 18

1. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

127 scrimmage yards, 2 TD; 3 receptions

Mark Tenally/Associated Press

8 / 18

2. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

130 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

Logan Bowles/NFL

9 / 18

3. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

123 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

Ryan Kang/NFL

10 / 18

4. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

114 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

Peter Read Miller/Associated Press

11 / 18

5. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

103 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Gregory Trott/Associated Press

12 / 18

Upside Pick: Peyton Barber, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

76 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 receptions

Logan Bowles/NFL

13 / 18

1. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

8 receptions, 89 yards, TD

Cooper Neill/NFL

14 / 18

2. Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

7 receptions, 87 yards, TD

Rick Osentoski/Associated Press

15 / 18

3. Odell Beckham Jr, WR, Cleveland Browns

6 receptions, 91 yards, TD

Ryan Kang/NFL

16 / 18

4. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

7 receptions, 79 yards, TD

Mike Roemer/Associated Press

17 / 18

5. Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys

5 receptions, 80 yards, TD

Damian Strohmeyer/Associated Press

18 / 18

Upside Pick: John Brown, WR, Buffalo Bills

5 receptions, 64 yards, TD

Ryan Kang/NFL

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