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Cynthia Frelund's Week 4 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past, actual, and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

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Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens - 228 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT; 59 rush yards, TD
1 / 18
1. Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens - 228 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT; 59 rush yards, TD

Cooper Neill/NFL
Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills - 254 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT; 49 rush yards, TD
2 / 18
2. Josh Allen

Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills - 254 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT; 49 rush yards, TD

Adrian Kraus/Associated Press
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys - 291 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards
3 / 18
3. Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys - 291 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards

Elaine Thompson/Associated Press
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs - 297 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 31 rush yards
4 / 18
4. Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs - 297 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 31 rush yards

Nick Wass/Associated Press
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers - 272 pass yards, 3 TD, INT
5 / 18
5. Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers - 272 pass yards, 3 TD, INT

Logan Bowles/NFL
Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 265 pass yards, 2 TD
6 / 18
Upside Pick - Tom Brady

Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 265 pass yards, 2 TD

Ric Tapia/NFL
Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints - 65 rush yards, TD; 5 receptions, 62 yards
7 / 18
1. Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints - 65 rush yards, TD; 5 receptions, 62 yards

Tyler Kaufman/Associated Press
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys - 94 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 33 yards
8 / 18
2. Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys - 94 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 33 yards

John Froschauer/Associated Press
Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers - 83 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 29 yards
9 / 18
3. Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers - 83 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 29 yards

Logan Bowles/NFL
Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs - 72 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 28 yards
10 / 18
4. Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs - 72 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 28 yards

Ryan Kang/NFL
Kenyan Drake, RB, Arizona Cardinals - 91 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 12 yards
11 / 18
5. Kenyan Drake

Kenyan Drake, RB, Arizona Cardinals - 91 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 12 yards

Ryan Kang/NFL
David Johnson, RB, Houston Texans - 67 rush yards, TD; 2 receptions, 19 yards
12 / 18
Upside Pick - David Johnson

David Johnson, RB, Houston Texans - 67 rush yards, TD; 2 receptions, 19 yards

Ric Tapia/NFL
DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Arizona Cardinals - 7 receptions, 96 yards, TD
13 / 18
1. DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Arizona Cardinals - 7 receptions, 96 yards, TD

Ryan Kang/NFL
Calvin Ridley, WR, Atlanta Falcons - 7 receptions, 91 yards, TD
14 / 18
2. Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley, WR, Atlanta Falcons - 7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

Danny Karnik/Associated Press
Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks - 6 receptions, 89 yards, TD
15 / 18
3. Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks - 6 receptions, 89 yards, TD

John Froschauer/Associated Press
Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings - 6 receptions, 88 yards, TD
16 / 18
4. Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings - 6 receptions, 88 yards, TD

David Berding/Associated Press
Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys - - 6 receptions, 79 yards, TD
17 / 18
5. Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys - - 6 receptions, 79 yards, TD

Stephen Brashear/Associated Press
DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins - 6 receptions, 71 yards, TD
18 / 18
Upside Pick - DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins - 6 receptions, 71 yards, TD

Phelan M. Ebenhack/Associated Press
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