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Cynthia Frelund's Week 5 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past, actual, and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

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Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

318 pass yards, 3 TD; 16 rush yards

1 / 18

1. Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

318 pass yards, 3 TD; 16 rush yards

Tom DiPace/Associated Press

301 pass yards, 3 TD, INT; 14 rush yards

2 / 18

2. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

301 pass yards, 3 TD, INT; 14 rush yards

Ric Tapia/NFL

282 pass yards, 2 TD; 21 rush yards

3 / 18

3. Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

282 pass yards, 2 TD; 21 rush yards

Cooper Neill/NFL

232 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 57 rush yards

4 / 18

4. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

232 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 57 rush yards

Mikey Owens/NFL

276 pass yards, 2 TD; 18 rush yards

5 / 18

5. DeShaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

276 pass yards, 2 TD; 18 rush yards

Ric Tapia/NFL

271 pass yards, 2 TD, INT

6 / 18

Upside Pick - Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Carolina Panthers

271 pass yards, 2 TD, INT

Brian Blanco/Associated Press

91 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 29 yards

7 / 18

1. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

91 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 29 yards

Cooper Neill/NFL

60 rush yards, TD; 5 receptions, 49 yards

8 / 18

2. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

60 rush yards, TD; 5 receptions, 49 yards

Adam Pintar/Associated Press

69 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 56 yards

9 / 18

3. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

69 rush yards, TD; 3 receptions, 56 yards

G. Newman Lowrance/Associated Press

71 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 41 yards

10 / 18

4. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

71 rush yards, TD; 4 receptions, 41 yards

David J. Phillip/Associated Press

89 rush yards, TD; 2 receptions, 15 yards

11 / 18

5. Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans

89 rush yards, TD; 2 receptions, 15 yards

David Stluka/Associated Press

62 rush yards, TD; 2 receptions, 17 yards

12 / 18

Upside Pick - David Johnson, RB, Houston Texans

62 rush yards, TD; 2 receptions, 17 yards

Matt Patterson/Associated Press

7 receptions, 81 yards, TD

13 / 18

1. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Arizona Cardinals

7 receptions, 81 yards, TD

Brian Westerholt/Associated Press

7 receptions, 79 yards, TD

14 / 18

2. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

7 receptions, 79 yards, TD

Eric Christian Smith/Associated Press

7 receptions, 78 yards, TD

15 / 18

3. Calvin Ridley, WR, Atlanta Falcons

7 receptions, 78 yards, TD

Danny Karnik/Associated Press

6 receptions, 81 yards, TD

16 / 18

4. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

6 receptions, 81 yards, TD

Reed Hoffmann/Associated Press

6 receptions, 77 yards, TD

17 / 18

5. Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks

6 receptions, 77 yards, TD

Tom Hauck/Associated Press

6 receptions, 67 yards, TD

18 / 18

Upside Pick - Darius Slayton, WR, New York Giants

6 receptions, 67 yards, TD

Gregory Trott/Associated Press

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