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Cynthia Frelund's Week 5 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.

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Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

310 pass yards, 3 TD

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

310 pass yards, 3 TD

Paul Sancya/Associated Press

256 pass yards, 2 TD; 28 rush yards

2 / 18

2. Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

256 pass yards, 2 TD; 28 rush yards

Michael Wyke/Associated Press

261 pass yards, 2 TD; 13 rush yards

3 / 18

3. Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

261 pass yards, 2 TD; 13 rush yards

Ross D. Franklin/Associated Press

254 pass yards, 2 TD; 14 rush yards

4 / 18

4. Carson Wentz, QB, Philiadephia Eagles

254 pass yards, 2 TD; 14 rush yards

Ryan Kang/NFL

171 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT; 45 rush yards, TD

5 / 18

5. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

171 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT; 45 rush yards, TD

Perry Knotts/NFL

251 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT; 13 rush yards

6 / 18

Upside Pick - Jacoby Brissett, QB, Indianapolis Colts

251 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT; 13 rush yards

Doug McSchooler/Associated Press

135 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

7 / 18

1. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

135 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

Cooper Neill/NFL

115 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

8 / 18

2. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

115 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

Logan Bowles/NFL

109 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

9 / 18

3. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

109 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

Ryan Kang/NFL

101 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 receptions

10 / 18

4. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

101 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 receptions

Aaron M. Sprecher/Associated Press

90 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

11 / 18

5. David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardnials

90 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Ric Tapia/NFL

87 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

12 / 18

Upside Pick - Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

87 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

Aaron Doster/NFL

8 receptions, 81 yards, TD

13 / 18

1. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

8 receptions, 81 yards, TD

Cooper Neill/NFL

7 receptions, 80 yards, TD

14 / 18

2. Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

7 receptions, 80 yards, TD

Wilfredo Lee/Associated Press

7 receptions, 79 yards, TD

15 / 18

3. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

7 receptions, 79 yards, TD

Logan Bowles/NFL

6 receptions, 75 yards, TD

16 / 18

4. Odell Beckham Jr., WR, Cleveland Browns

6 receptions, 75 yards, TD

Perry Knotts/NFL

6 receptions, 75 yards, TD

17 / 18

5. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

6 receptions, 75 yards, TD

John Bazemore/Associated Press

4 receptions, 61 yards, TD

18 / 18

Upside Pick - Allen Robinson, WR, Chicago Bears

4 receptions, 61 yards, TD

Ryan Kang/NFL

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