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Cynthia Frelund's Week 7 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to:

Headshot_Author_Cynthia-Frelund_1400x1000

Cynthia Frelund

NFL Network Analytics Expert

311 pass yards, 3 TD

1 / 18

1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

311 pass yards, 3 TD

Michael Dwyer/Associated Press

307 pass yards, 3 TD

2 / 18

2. Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

307 pass yards, 3 TD

John Bazemore/Associated Press

299 pass yards, 2 TD

3 / 18

3. Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams

299 pass yards, 2 TD

Joe Mahoney/Associated Press

332 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT

4 / 18

4. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

332 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT

Butch Dill/Associated Press

281 pass yards, 2 TD

5 / 18

5. Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

281 pass yards, 2 TD

Michael Dwyer/Associated Press

279 pass yards, 2 TD

6 / 18

Upside pick: Andy Dalton, QB, Cincinnati Bengals

279 pass yards, 2 TD

National Football League

8 receptions, 108 yards, TD

7 / 18

1. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

8 receptions, 108 yards, TD

Bruce Kluckhohn/Associated Press

7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

8 / 18

2. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

John Bazemore/Associated Press

6 receptions, 90 yards, TD

9 / 18

3. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

6 receptions, 90 yards, TD

Bill Feig/Associated Press

6 receptions, 84 yards, TD

10 / 18

4. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

6 receptions, 84 yards, TD

Michael Dwyer/Associated Press

6 receptions, 80 yards, TD

11 / 18

5. Odell Beckham Jr, WR, New York Giants

6 receptions, 80 yards, TD

Brad Penner/USA TODAY Sports

4 receptions, 51 yards, TD

12 / 18

Upside pick: Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4 receptions, 51 yards, TD

John Amis/Associated Press

138 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

13 / 18

1. Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

138 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Joe Mahoney/Associated Press

104 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

14 / 18

2. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

104 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

Julio Cortez/Associated Press

112 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

15 / 18

3. Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

112 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Ron Schwane/Associated Press

97 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

16 / 18

4. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

97 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

Jim Cowsert/Associated Press

98 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

17 / 18

5. Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

98 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

Frank Victores/Associated Press

84 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 rec

18 / 18

Upside pick: Carlos Hyde, RB, Cleveland Browns

84 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 rec

Scott Galvin/USA TODAY Sports

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