NFL predictions for 2024 season: Picks to win MVP, Offensive/Defensive Rookie of the Year

(16 votes: Abdoo, Band, Battista, Bergman, Bhanpuri, Blair, Grant, Jones-Drew, Kownack, Mariucci, Okada, Parr, Patra, Reuter, Ross, Shook.)

T-2) Josh Allen (+900) | 4 votes: Baca, Edholm, Florio, Rosenthal.

T-2) C.J. Stroud (+850) | 4 votes: Chadiha, Filice, Gonzales, Zierlein.

T-4) Jalen Hurts (+1400) | 2 votes: Rank, Walker.

T-4) Brock Purdy (+1500) | 1 vote: Magdziuk.

T-4) Trevor Lawrence (+3000) | 1 vote: Cersosimo.

Most Valuable Player notes:

• Three players have won the last six MVP awards: Lamar Jackson (2019, 2023), Patrick Mahomes (2018, 2022) and Aaron Rodgers (2020, 2021).
• Lamar Jackson is the only QB with multiple MVP awards not to appear in a Super Bowl. He currently has +1800 odds to take home this year's trophy, while the Ravens have the second-best odds to represent the AFC in Super Bowl LIX.

(11 votes: Abdoo, Baca, Band, Battista, Chadiha, Gonzales, Grant, Jones-Drew, Okada, Rank, Reuter.)

2) Bijan Robinson (+1800) | 5 votes: Cersosimo, Kownack, Magdziuk, Patra, Rosenthal.

T-3) Ja'Marr Chase (+1200) | 3 votes: Blair, Florio, Zierlein.

T-3) Christian McCaffrey (+800) | 3 votes: Mariucci, Shook, Walker.

T-5) A.J. Brown (+4000) | 1 vote: Filice.

T-5) Derrick Henry (+5000) | 1 vote: Ross.

T-5) Jalen Hurts (+5500) | 1 vote: Edholm.

T-5) CeeDee Lamb (+1000) | 1 vote: Parr.

T-5) Kyler Murray (+9500) | 1 vote: Bhanpuri.

T-5) Garrett Wilson (+2800) | 1 vote: Bergman.

Offensive Player of the Year notes:

• Over the past 30 years, a wide receiver has been named Offensive Player of the Year just three times, with the remaining 27 recipients comprised of running backs (17) and quarterbacks (10). All three of the hardware-winning wideouts earned the award in the previous five seasons (Michael Thomas in 2019, Cooper Kupp in 2021 and Justin Jefferson in 2022).
• Christian McCaffrey could become just the third player in NFL history to go back-to-back as Offensive Player of the Year, joining fellow running backs Marshall Faulk (1999-2001) and Earl Campbell (1978-1980), who both three-peated.

(8 votes: Abdoo, Battista, Okada, Patra, Reuter, Rosenthal, Shook, Zierlein.)

T-2) T.J. Watt (+575) | 7 votes: Bhanpuri, Chadiha, Florio, Jones-Drew, Magdziuk, Mariucci, Ross.

T-2) Maxx Crosby (+700) | 7 votes: Band, Cersosimo, Edholm, Filice, Gonzales, Kownack, Parr.

T-4) Myles Garrett (+800) | 2 votes: Bergman, Grant.

T-4) Aidan Hutchinson (+1100) | 2 votes: Blair, Walker.

T-6) Sauce Gardner (+6000) | 1 vote: Rank.

T-6) Rashan Gary (+5000) | 1 vote: Baca.

Defensive Player of the Year notes:

• Nine of the 10 most recent Defensive Player of the Year winners were pass rushers, with cornerback Stephon Gilmore (2019) being the outlier. Gilmore is one of just six defensive backs to take home the prize in the past 30 years (Troy Polamalu in 2010, Charles Woodson in 2009, Bob Sanders in 2007, Ed Reed in 2004 and Deion Sanders in 1994).
• The season sack leader has been named DPOY four times over the past 10 years, while only once during that span did the league leader in interceptions win the award (Gilmore).

(17 votes: Abdoo, Baca, Band, Battista, Blair, Chadiha, Filice, Florio, Grant, Kownack, Parr, Patra, Rank, Reuter, Ross, Walker, Zierlein.)

2) Marvin Harrison Jr. (+700) | 6 votes: Bergman, Bhanpuri, Gonzales, Magdziuk, Okada, Shook,

3) Jayden Daniels (+500) | 2 votes: Cersosimo, Edholm.

T-4) Brock Bowers (+5000) | 1 vote: Jones-Drew.

T-4) Malik Nabers (+1500) | 1 vote: Rosenthal.

T-4) Bo Nix (+950) | 1 vote: Mariucci.

Offensive Rookie of the Year notes:

• Since 2000, 18 QBs have been selected No. 1 overall in the draft, with the latest being Caleb Williams in April. Of the 17 who preceded Williams, just three (Sam Bradford in 2010, Cam Newton in 2011 and Kyler Murray in 2019) went on to win Offensive Rookie of the Year.
• By winning OROY, Williams could become the second player in Bears history (joining Anthony Thomas in 2001) and first Chicago quarterback to earn the honor. Including Defensive Rookie of the Year winners and the three Bears players who were named Rookie of the Year before the award was split into offensive and defensive categories (Mike Ditka in 1961, Ron Bull in 1962 and Gale Sayers in 1965), eight Chicago players have won rookie of the year awards -- tied with Detroit for the most in league history.
• If Brock Bowers were to defy the odds and be recognized as the league’s top offensive rookie, he’d follow Ditka as the second tight end to ever receive the honor.

(12 votes: Band, Bhanpuri, Blair, Edholm, Filice, Grant, Jones-Drew, Magdziuk, Okada, Patra, Rosenthal, Walker.)

T-2) Dallas Turner (+450) | 5 votes: Baca, Cersosimo, Chadiha, Florio, Kownack.

T-2) Jared Verse (+950) | 5 votes: Battista, Gonzales, Mariucci, Ross, Zierlein.

4) Byron Murphy II (+1100) | 3 votes: Abdoo, Parr, Reuter.

5) Chop Robinson (+1600) | 2 votes: Rank, Shook.

6) Kamari Lassiter (+6600) | 1 vote: Bergman.

Defensive Rookie of the Year notes:

• From 2006 to 2012, five of the seven Defensive Rookie of the Year winners were off-ball linebackers. In the 11 years since, only one off-ball linebacker (Shaq Leonard) has won the award, with pass rushers (both interior and edge players) earning the honor seven times.
• Six franchises -- the Bengals, Buccaneers, Eagles, Jaguars, Seahawks and Vikings -- still have not had a player win DROY. All six teams invested at least one top-60 pick on a defender in the 2024 NFL Draft, with Minnesota (Dallas Turner), Philadelphia (Quinyon Mitchell) and Seattle (Byron Murphy II) each spending a first-round selection on defense.

(11 votes: Band, Cersosimo, Chadiha, Edholm, Filice, Florio, Kownack, Patra, Reuter, Ross, Shook.)

2) Aaron Rodgers (+130) | 10 votes: Baca, Battista, Bergman, Bhanpuri, Blair, Jones-Drew, Mariucci, Okada, Parr, Zierlein.

3) Kirk Cousins (+525) | 3 votes: Gonzales, Grant, Magdziuk.

4) Anthony Richardson (+675) | 2 votes: Abdoo, Walker.

T-5) Nick Chubb (+1100) | 1 vote: Rank.

T-5) Kyler Murray (+2200) | 1 vote: Rosenthal.

Comeback Player of the Year notes:

• The leading vote-getter for Comeback Player of the Year, Joe Burrow, previously won the award in 2021, when he bounced back from a season-ending injury as a rookie to lead the Bengals to a Super Bowl appearance as a sophomore. If Burrow were to hear his name called at NFL Honors again after this season, he and Chad Pennington would be the only two-time winners of the award.
• Quarterbacks have dominated CPOY of late, representing 12 of the last 16 winners. In fact, 2023 winner Joe Flacco extended the position’s run to six straight years -- the second time that has happened since the award returned nearly three decades ago (2008-2013, 2018-2023).

(6 votes: Band, Bhanpuri, Chadiha, Filice, Mariucci, Zierlein.)

T-2) Jim Harbaugh (+1000) | 4 votes: Baca, Edholm, Reuter, Ross.

T-2) Raheem Morris (+1500) | 4 votes: Cersosimo, Kownack, Okada, Shook.

T-4) Matt Eberflus (+900) | 3 votes: Blair, Gonzales, Rank.

T-4) Matt LaFleur (+1500) | 3 votes: Abdoo, Bergman, Patra.

T-4) Shane Steichen (+1600) | 3 votes: Florio, Magdziuk, Walker.

7) Mike Macdonald (+1100) | 2 votes: Parr, Rosenthal.

T-8) Dan Campbell (+2200) | 1 vote: Battista.

T-8) Mike McDaniel (+2500) | 1 vote: Grant.

T-8) Sean McVay (+2200) | 1 vote: Jones-Drew.

Coach of the Year notes:

• Since 2011, more than half of the Coach of the Year winners (seven of 13) have taken home the award within their first two years at the helm. That bodes well for the three leading vote-getters in this category, including the analysts’ top pick, DeMeco Ryans, who has the chance to become the first COTY in Texans history.
• Jim Harbaugh, who earned COTY honors in his first year with the 49ers (2011), has the opportunity to become the first coach to win the award in his inaugural season with two different franchises. He’d also become the first Chargers head coach to earn the title since Marty Schottenheimer won the award 20 years ago.
• Since 2015, just two coaches have followed up their Coach of the Year wins by leading their team to the playoffs the next season (Sean McVay and John Harbaugh). Will reigning COTY winner Kevin Stefanski, who also took home the award in 2020, become the third?